Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.000175 0.000196 0.000218 0.000244 0.000272 0.000302 0.000337
2025-07-06 0.000146 0.000174 0.000206 0.000244 0.000290 0.000342 0.000407
2025-07-13 0.000123 0.000155 0.000193 0.000242 0.000302 0.000376 0.000471
2025-07-20 0.000109 0.000145 0.000189 0.000248 0.000325 0.000422 0.000554
2025-07-27 0.000097 0.000134 0.000182 0.000249 0.000341 0.000461 0.000631
2025-08-03 0.000086 0.000124 0.000175 0.000250 0.000355 0.000497 0.000707
2025-08-10 0.000077 0.000115 0.000167 0.000247 0.000363 0.000527 0.000775
2025-08-17 0.000070 0.000108 0.000163 0.000249 0.000378 0.000565 0.000857
2025-08-24 0.000063 0.000100 0.000156 0.000246 0.000384 0.000592 0.000925
2025-08-31 0.000058 0.000094 0.000151 0.000244 0.000393 0.000622 0.001000
2025-09-07 0.000053 0.000089 0.000147 0.000244 0.000404 0.000656 0.001081
2025-09-14 0.000049 0.000084 0.000142 0.000242 0.000411 0.000683 0.001156
2025-09-21 0.000046 0.000081 0.000141 0.000246 0.000429 0.000730 0.001266
2025-09-28 0.000042 0.000078 0.000138 0.000248 0.000442 0.000771 0.001370
2025-10-05 0.000039 0.000073 0.000133 0.000246 0.000449 0.000802 0.001459
2025-10-12 0.000037 0.000072 0.000134 0.000252 0.000472 0.000861 0.001602
2025-10-19 0.000035 0.000069 0.000132 0.000254 0.000486 0.000906 0.001723
2025-10-26 0.000033 0.000066 0.000129 0.000254 0.000498 0.000947 0.001840
2025-11-02 0.000030 0.000063 0.000125 0.000252 0.000503 0.000977 0.001937
2025-11-09 0.000028 0.000060 0.000123 0.000253 0.000517 0.001024 0.002071
2025-11-16 0.000026 0.000057 0.000119 0.000250 0.000521 0.001051 0.002168
2025-11-23 0.000025 0.000055 0.000116 0.000249 0.000529 0.001087 0.002284
2025-11-30 0.000023 0.000053 0.000114 0.000249 0.000539 0.001128 0.002413